Context: there are four people mentioned in this conversation. Ravi, Hari, Sam know each other But Ram only knows Hari and Hari only know Ram. Her, the conversation goes:
Ram: You know what. One of my friends, Hari, just divorced his wife.
Sam: His wife would have probably cheated on him.
Here, is the response of Sam correct with would have? (The context is Sam doesn't know Hari.)
I think you're probably better off with the simple past tense - 'His wife probably cheated on him'.
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I think you're probably better off with the simple past tense - 'His wife probably cheated on him'.