The French economy could avoid a recession in 2013,

Hello ,

could you check my writting, please ! THANKS !

The French economy could avoid a recession in 2013, according to the country's central bank. For the first quarter it anticipates a growth of 0.1%. It's a good announcement because some economists have predicted a worse outcome because of poor results. A recession is usually defined as two consecutive quarters of contraction. Forecasts point to a modest rise in industrial activity in February. The industrial indicator had risen to its highest level in nearly a year. It's a good news for the deindustrialized country.

But I don't agree with that because we have some problems : a strong Euro, already the crisis in the Euro-Zone and a disunity.

Strong euro.
If the euro is strong, exports to USA will be more difficult. A strong euro encourages the relocation of companies. This will not improve our trade balance, which reached 67 billion euros. If the French Governement wants to down euro, they must make pressures on the ECB. (European Central Bank)

Crisis in the Euro-Zone.
The European Union is already an organization that knows tensions. Greece has still the note: "speculation". Spain, Italy and Portugal are always parlous because they could fall again into crisis and propagate the crisis in other countries.

And if the British leave European Union, it represents 13 % of the European GDP which disappears. If the Great Britain quits, it will a detrimental to the European Union.