These are the best alternatives. " "If w reject the null hypothesis, the p-value is the probability that you are / it is wrong. " This phrase is a noun followed by the prepositional phrase with "of" probability of (noun phrase) - the noun phrase is the object of the preposition "of" Gerunds (verb+ing) are very common in this type of phrase.
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michaelxiaohtIf I use "probability to be wrong" or "probability to make a..." instead of the above two, are they correct?No. "the probability to" (+ verb) is wrong.
michaelxiaohtI am not familiar withe the use of "noun of doing..."It's correct.
CalifJimNo. "the probability to" (+ verb) is wrong.That's right. But the pattern with "to" + verb is used with other nouns: